‘Shark Tank’ star Kevin O’Leary warns soaring interest rates will cause ‘real chaos’ for US economy

“Shark Tank” investor Kevin O’Leary revealed the cold hard truth on America’s housing market, Tuesday, warning that September will be the start of “real chaos” for the U.S. economy.

Multi-millionaire Kevin O’Leary joined ‘Kudlow’ to discuss his outlook on the U.S. housing market, and economy. (Getty Images / Getty Images)

“This was inevitable. We talked about it six weeks ago, and now you’re just starting to see the chips start to fall. The layering is as follows: The regional [banks] don’t know yet what their capital requirements are going to be. So, their loan books have closed like a turtle in a shell,” he explained during an appearance on “Kudlow.”

“This gets worse before it gets better. And what’s it doing to small business? Killing them right now,” he warned Tuesday.

The Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest-rate hike campaign sent mortgage rates soaring above 7% for the first time in nearly two decades, cooling the post-COVID, red-hot housing market.

Rates have been slow to retreat, hitting a fresh two-decade high last week. Freddie Mac reported that rates on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage are hovering around 7.09%, well above the 5.13% rate recorded one year ago and the pre-pandemic average of 3.9%.

Additionally, the Federal Reserve approved yet another rate hike in July, setting the key benchmark federal funds rate to the highest level since 2001.

O’Leary argues that the U.S.’s troubled banking market is going to cause “real chaos in a very short term,” spotlighting the devastating impact some of Congress’ short-sighted economic policies has had on the average American.

“What I anticipate is going to happen here, while we still have full employment which is remarkable, and you don’t put any capital into the small business sector, which is 60% of the jobs in America, you’re going to start to see some real chaos come September, October, November. This is an issue for Congress, Larry. It’s very simple,” he continued.

“They gave all their money to S&P 500 in two acts, the Chips and Science Act and the other, Inflation Reduction Act. Not a dime for small business. A trillion for the big boys, nothing for the small guys. And the small guys, they run America, so it has to be rebalanced somewhere, Larry.”

Source: https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/shark-tank-star-kevin-oleary-soaring-interest-rates-cause-real-chaos-us-economy

China surprises with modest rate cut amid growing yuan risks

Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People’s Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights

China cut its one-year benchmark lending rate on Monday as authorities seek to ramp up efforts to stimulate credit demand, but surprised markets by keeping the five-year rate unchanged amid broader concerns about a rapidly weakening currency.

The recovery in the world’s second-largest economy has lost steam due to a worsening property slump, weak consumer spending and tumbling credit growth, adding to the case for authorities to release more policy stimulus.

However, downward pressure on the yuan means Beijing has limited room for deeper monetary easing, analysts say, as a further widening of China’s yield differentials with other major economies could trigger yuan selloffs and capital flight.

The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was lowered by 10 basis points to 3.45% from 3.55% previously, while the five-year LPR was left at 4.20%.

In a Reuters poll of 35 market watchers, all participants predicted cuts to both rates. The 10 bp cut in the one-year rate was smaller than the 15 bp cut expected by most poll respondents.

“Probably China limited the size and scope of rate cuts because they are concerned about downward pressure on the yuan,” said Masayuki Kichikawa, chief macro strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management.

“Chinese authorities care about currency market stability.”

Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages. China cut both LPRs in June to boost the economy.

The onshore yuan eased in early trade to 7.3078 per dollar, compared with the previous close of 7.2855, while benchmark Shanghai Composite index (.SSEC) and the blue-chip CSI 300 index (.CSI300) also declined.

The yuan has lost nearly 6% against the dollar so far this year to become one of the worst performing Asian currencies.

The reduction in the one-year LPR came after the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) unexpectedly lowered its medium-term policy rate last week.

The medium-term lending facility (MLF) rate serves as a guide to the LPR and is widely read by markets as a precursor to future changes to the lending benchmarks.

China’s central bank has also pledged to keep liquidity reasonably ample and its policy “precise and forceful” to support the economic recovery, amid rising headwinds, according to its second-quarter monetary policy implementation report.

Source: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-cuts-1-year-lending-benchmark-keeps-5-year-unchanged-2023-08-21/

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