India recorded a big dip in Covid-19 numbers in the week ending Sunday, with both fresh cases and deaths registering their sharpest weekly decreases in percentage terms at least in the last four months.
For the first time since early June, India is likely to record less than 50,000 new cases in the week (August 29-September 4), as the surge in infections seen from June till late July continues to subside for the sixth week running, as per TOI’s Covid database. The tally of cases this week is likely to be close to 46,400, a 30% drop from the previous week’s total of 66,400. Such a sharp dip in weekly numbers was last recorded during the receding phase of the third wave in February and March this year.
Deaths from the virus too are likely to see a 23%-25% drop from last week’s toll of 277 after Sunday’s data from all states/UTs is received, the sharpest decrease since mid-May.
The receding graph of infections in the country was also reflected in active cases as well as the positivity rate. Active cases of the virus had fallen to around 51,000 by Sunday evening, dropping from nearly 69,000 on the same day last week. The seven-day average of the test positivity rate (TPR), a measure of the percentage of samples testing positive, had dipped to 2.37% by Saturday, from 2.77% a week ago. The seven-day TPR is currently at its lowest in 83 days.
All states and UTs logged a decline in fresh cases as compared to the previous week, with the lone exception of Kerala. Sunday’s data for the southern state wasn’t immediately available, but from the trend of the past few days, it is likely to post an increase of around 15%. This would be the second straight week of rising cases in Kerala, which had reported 7,863 fresh infections last week.